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What Does It Mean When You Say 30 Chance Of Rain

Person A says that 30 chance of rain means that with the conditions the way that they are in the past it has rained 30 of the time. Most people assume that a 40 percent chance of rain means it is going to rain 40 of the day but that thought process is not correct.


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Person B says that a 30 chance of rain means that it WILL rain but only 30 of the viewing public will receive rain.

What does it mean when you say 30 chance of rain. If the forecast says 30 at 1200 it means the forecaster computes a 30 chance of seeing some water in the rain gauge at 1200. The forecast of a 30 percent chance of rain can mean all of the area will get rain if it rains but the forecaster has only a 30 percent confidence that rain will indeed arrive. So in the example above there is a 30 chance that at least 001 of rain will fall at the point for which that forecast is valid over the period of time given Tuesday in this case.

A 30 percent chance of rain means there is a 30 chance of measurable rain 001 inch or more in the time period to which it applies such as today 6 am. For example Wednesday calls for a 30 chance of rain. We are 100 confident that 30 of Central Georgia will see.

So if you go out from 1100 to 1200 theres a 30 chance of rain hitting you. I mean if its going to rain on top of a mountain which takes up 30 of the area but all the people live at the base of the mountain taking up 10 of the area they are almost 100 chance NOT going to get rain even if theres a 30 chance of rain meaning its 100 chance going to rain on top of this mountain. WMC - Meteorologists talk about the probability of percentage all the time but many people do not understand what that rain percentage actually means.

Hopefully you can now understand what sort of thinking lies behind the 30 chance of rain you see on the 7-day. When a meteorologist says that there is a 30 chance of rain what does it mean. The chance of precipitation.

Some like the TikTok claim that a 30 chance of rain refers to the proportion of a given area that will receive rain. Over a certain period of time. For other exciting and educational digital weather content check out other Weather.

This may have fallen at any time since the previous reading. The percent is the amount of area coverage or people that will see rain for sure. At a particular point.

After millions of views and many questions sparked by one viral video AccuWeather experts explain what the probability percentage of precipitation actually means.


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